Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.565078e-03 0.001743 0.001923 0.002116 0.002318 0.002523 0.002746
2025-02-16 1.287398e-03 0.001543 0.001808 0.002103 0.002418 0.002745 0.003107
2025-02-23 1.012671e-03 0.001317 0.001643 0.002016 0.002425 0.002856 0.003343
2025-03-02 7.941695e-04 0.001130 0.001504 0.001943 0.002435 0.002964 0.003568
2025-03-09 6.205947e-04 0.000976 0.001388 0.001884 0.002452 0.003072 0.003790
2025-03-16 4.917345e-04 0.000861 0.001306 0.001856 0.002497 0.003206 0.004037
2025-03-23 4.290816e-04 0.000821 0.001308 0.001921 0.002646 0.003455 0.004410
2025-03-30 3.514399e-04 0.000751 0.001267 0.001932 0.002729 0.003627 0.004694
2025-04-06 2.991760e-04 0.000710 0.001258 0.001976 0.002848 0.003839 0.005023
2025-04-13 2.693303e-04 0.000697 0.001283 0.002061 0.003014 0.004103 0.005410
2025-04-20 1.927278e-04 0.000601 0.001191 0.001997 0.002998 0.004155 0.005553
2025-04-27 1.274079e-04 0.000509 0.001097 0.001922 0.002965 0.004183 0.005666
2025-05-04 9.538746e-05 0.000479 0.001104 0.002001 0.003148 0.004496 0.006147
2025-05-11 5.308268e-05 0.000413 0.001053 0.002002 0.003236 0.004702 0.006508
2025-05-18 1.490122e-05 0.000319 0.000949 0.001926 0.003226 0.004790 0.006735
2025-05-25 2.162026e-07 0.000242 0.000858 0.001861 0.003225 0.004887 0.006971
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000180 0.000780 0.001807 0.003236 0.004997 0.007221
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000136 0.000724 0.001782 0.003281 0.005146 0.007517
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000123 0.000730 0.001848 0.003446 0.005445 0.007991
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000098 0.000702 0.001860 0.003538 0.005650 0.008354
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000083 0.000696 0.001905 0.003673 0.005910 0.008781
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000078 0.000715 0.001989 0.003861 0.006236 0.009288
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000047 0.000646 0.001926 0.003846 0.006304 0.009482